01/31/12 INSIIDE Track:
      "Bonds & Notes have slightly diverged since peaking in mid-December 2011.  At that time, Bonds created a double-top with their late-September peak.  Notes spiked to new highs.  Since then, Notes have again rallied to new highs while Bonds remain shy of their mid-December peak.

   This latest rally has pushed Notes beyond the ideal time for a multi-month peak... but not eliminated the potential for one... Bonds & Notes have fulfilled major and intermediate upside targets - in time and price - and these advances are now living on borrowed time.  It would, however, take weekly closes below 141-10/USH & 130-03/TYH to give the first signs that multi-month peaks are taking hold in Bonds & Notes.

   3-6 month & 6-12 month traders and investors should be exiting the long side of these markets and beginning to take on short positions, particularly in Bonds, risking two successive weekly closes above the December 2011 highs."  FUTURES TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!

01/03/12 INSIIDE Track:
      "Stock Indices continued to adhere closely to the various cycles, most notably the 11-Week Cycle and the 14-15 Week Cycle.  Leading into the month of December, Stock Indices were projected to rally into December 6--9th and then drop into December 19--23rd.  December 19--23rd was the more synergistic of these cycles and was the next phase of the 11-Week Cycle that most recently pegged the October 3--7th low.  It was also the midpoint of the 14--15 week cycle that has been spanning the highs (& that timed the October 27/28th peak).

   Stock Indices rallied into Dec. 7th and then dropped into Dec. 19th, before entering the next phase of this overall advance.  This latest low created an 11-week high-high-high-low-low-(?) Cycle Progression that corroborates an existing 22-week low-low-low-low-high-low-(high?) Cycle Sequence and a 44-week low-high-(high?) Cycle Progression - all aligning on March 5--9, 2012, the 3-year anniversary of the March 6/9, 2009 major low.

   The week of March 5--9, 2012 represents the next phase of the 11-Week Cycle, the 14-15-Week Cycle and the second (future) phase of the 7-8 Week Cycle (see December 2011 INSIIDE Track for related charts)... From a bigger-picture perspective, the Indices are considered to be in positive trends until they close below their October 3/4th lows.  Among other things, those lows perpetuated a 15.5--16 month cycle and triggered a monthly reversal signal to the upside (as well as a positive monthly trend signal)."

01/03/12 INSIIDE Track:
      "Bonds & Notes completed their projected advance into a strong convergence of cycles and wave projections in December 2011 - when an important top was expected.  A peak in December 2011 would come on the 3-year anniversary (one of the most consistent, longer-term cycles in Bonds & Notes) of the December 2008 peak and would complete a 10-month low-low-(high) Cycle Progression.

   By rallying into December 16/19th, Notes completed back-to-back major rallies of equal duration (30 months each) and back-to-back intermediate rallies of equal duration (44 weeks each).  Bonds & Notes peaked during the latest phase of the 6-week & 12-week Cycle Progressions that pinpointed the September 19--23rd peaks.  And all of this came after Bonds & Notes had reached their 2+-year, primary upside price objectives - at 142-31/US & 130-25/TY.

   The bottom line is that Bonds & Notes have fulfilled major and intermediate upside targets - in time and price - and these advances are now living on borrowed time.  Weekly closes below 140-25/USH & 129-21/TYH would be the first signs that multi-month - and possibly multi-year - peaks are taking hold in Bonds & Notes.  This would signal that longer-term interest rates are about to begin heading higher." 

11/30/11 INSIIDE Track:
      "The Indices bottomed on November 25/28th... this is expected to spur a rally into December 6--9, 2011.  The period between December 8/9th and December 23rd will be the big 'wild card'... December 19--23rd is the next phase of the 11-week cycle that most recently pegged the October 3--7th low... Most likely, it will represent a low.  And, if it does, this would create an equally intriguing convergence of cycles, 11 weeks later.

   At that time, there would be an 11-week high-high-high-low-low-(?) Cycle Progression and a 22-week low-low-low-low-high-low-(?) Cycle Sequence and a 44-week low-high-(?) Cycle Progression - all aligning on March 5--9, 2012, the 3-year anniversary of the March 6/9, 2009 major low.  The price levels of the December 19--23rd lows - assuming they are lows - should have a powerful impact on cycles in early-March 2012."

11/26/11 Weekly Re-Lay:
      "The current period - this past week & the coming week - incorporates the latest phase of the 14-15 week cycle (from the August 9th lows), a 7-8 week cycle that has spanned several recent lows AND a combination of 14, 28 & 56-day Cycle Progressions... If a low is set in the coming days, it should prompt a bounce into December 5--9th...

   The Nasdaq 100 (and many other Indices) are tracing out a consistent 5-6 week cycle that can be narrowed down to a 28--30 trading-day cycle.  This is a low (Aug. 9th)-high (Sept. 20th)-high (Oct. 28th; highest close)-high ??? (Dec.. 8--12, 2011) Cycle Progression.  If the Indices set a low - now or in the coming days - and rebound into December 8th, it would reinforce this cycle and project an ensuing decline (as long as the December 8th peak is lower than the peaks of late-October/early-November)."

10/12/11 Weekly Re-Lay Alert:
   "Stock Indices have rallied sharply after perfectly fulfilling the intermediate outlook for a drop from July 22nd into October 3--7th... The NQZ set this low without turning its weekly trend down, creating the likelihood for a quick rally back to 2428/NQZ.  A weekly close above 2313/NQZ would confirm this scenario.  If these Indices neutralize their intra-year downtrends (the DJIA needs to give a weekly close above 11,577 to accomplish this), it could spur a rebound into early-November..."

10/15/11 Weekly Re-Lay:
   "Stock Indices precisely fulfilled the 2-3 month outlook - for an intermediate peak on July 18--22, 2011 followed by a sharp drop into Oct. 3--7, 2011... Stock Indices validated this scenario by spiking to new multi-month and/or intra-year lows on Oct. 3/4th and giving weekly 2 Close Reversals higher (DJIA & SPZ) on Oct. 7th.  In order to provide the next level of confirmation, the NQZ needed to continue advancing and close above 2313/NQZ - while the DJIA closes above 11,577 - on Oct. 14th.  This just took place."

08/31/11 Weekly Re-Lay Alert:
   "The Indices all closed lower on the month, reinforcing the July 29th monthly 2 Close Reversal sell signals... and further validating the potential for a drop into October 3--7th."

09/03/11 Weekly Re-Lay:
   "The Indices all closed lower on the month, reinforcing the July 29th monthly 2 Close Reversal sell signals... and further validating the potential for a drop into October 3--7th."

09/10/11 Weekly Re-Lay Alert:
   "Regardless of how the short-term plays out (which is a little uncertain, at the moment), the intermediate outlook has not changed and remains that the Indices would set a multi-month peak on July 18--22nd and then drop sharply into October 3--7th.  The DJIA again closed the week within its intra-year downtrend, corroborating this scenario."

Coffee Fulfilling Final Stage of 2-3 Year Outlook;
Projected May 2011 Cycle Peak Could Be Seen on May 2--6th!

04/30/11 Weekly Re-Lay:
   "Coffee has nearly fulfilled the 1-4 week, 1-3 month, 3-6 month, 6-12 month and 1-3 year outlooks - all of which could be fulfilled with a peak in May/June 2011.  On a yearly basis, 2011 is the culmination of a 17-Year Cycle that created a major peak near 337.0/KC in 1977 (34 years ago) and a secondary peak in 1994 (17 years ago).  April 2011 is the exact 34-Year anniversary of the major peak but recent monthly & weekly cycles - including the frequently-discussed 7 month/30--33 week cycle - project this peak to take hold in May 2011.

   May 2011 is also the 14-Year anniversary of the May 1997 peak - at 318.0/KC.  These highs provide a multi-decade range of resistance - from 318.0--337.0/KC.  The week of May 2--6th is the next phase of an 8-week low-high-high-(high) Cycle Progression that could pinpoint this anticipated peak.  A 15-day low-high-(high) Cycle Progression (with the April 21st high) corroborates this.  Anything above 303.40/KCN would fulfill cycle expectations (although it would not automatically signal a peak), so a top could come at any time."

Outlook 2011...  The Trigger

   11-29-10 - The year 2011 is the culmination and transition of a myriad of MAJOR cycles - some 60, 360, 660, 720, 1,440, 1,980 and even 3,960 years in duration.  The period of 2011--2013 incorporates an even greater convergence of cycles, including things like Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles and Arab-Unity Cycles (2011) Middle East War Cycles (2012) and Dollar/China/Saudi Arabia Cycles (2013)... What kinds of 'earth-shaking' events could occur?  What nations will be directly involved? ... Revolt in another Middle East nation.  (Egypt & Saudi Arabia have always remained at the top of this list... 2011 is 40 Years of 'Testing' since the United Arab League finally dissolved in 1971 (and 50 years from its initial split in 1961)... 2011 is the culmination of many unique cycles related to the Arab League..." [End of November 29, 2010 excerpt]

Outlook 2011...  Date With Destiny

   01-05-11 - The year 2011 is - in my opinion - a true Date with Destiny.  From a cyclic perspective, it is a watershed year... As discussed last month, there could be multiple 'triggers' that initiate a major transition (and possibly a war) in the coming years... Revolt in another Middle East nation, potentially Egypt (even though it is technically in N. Africa).  Violence leading up to elections in early-December and the increase of Muslim attacks on Coptic Christian sites are increasing instability in Egypt.  Watch closely.

04/30/2007 INSIIDE Track:
   "...the start of a 2-year bear market in stocks...The indices are living on borrowed time and this is expected to be more apparent in late-2007... when an initial decline could be unfolding..."

05/30/2007 INSIIDE Track:
   "For over a decade, my primary focus has been on Sept. 2007 to usher in a unique period in history."

06/27/2007 INSIIDE Track:
   "...the DJIA could be heading for a 20 - 50% correction in the next 1-3 years..."

07/31/2007 INSIIDE Track:
   "...mid-to-late 2007 will usher in a 4-5 year period of very volatile, uncertain, and sometimes very negative action..."

10/31/2007 INSIIDE Track:
   "Stock indices are expected to begin a larger-scale correction in Nov... enter a 2-3 year bear market...fulfill two different levels of cycle tops in 2007..."
 
12/03/2007 INSIIDE Track:
   "Stock indices have fulfilled multiple cycles - on multiple levels - in multiple (diverse) arenas, setting the stage for a more prolonged bear market..."